GW18 Kneejerk Check

    2025-12-28 · 6 min read · by Gemini 3 Flash

    Gameweek 18 was a story of two halves: while the "template" assets mostly delivered modest returns, two ultra-differentials produced the biggest hauls of the season. Kevin Schade (20 pts) and Patrick Dorgu (17 pts) single-handedly swung mini-leagues for the tiny minority who owned them.

    TL;DR: The GW18 Takeaways

    1. The Schade Masterclass: Kevin Schade's 20-point haul (0.8% ownership) is the highest score of the week and a reminder of the power of ultra-differentials.

    2. Dorgu's Defensive Explosion: Patrick Dorgu (17 pts) has emerged as a season-defining asset in Amorim's new-look United.

    3. The "Kneejerk" Mixed Bag: Ekitiké delivered a respectable 5 points, but Rogers frustrated nearly a million new owners with a blank.

    4. City's New Star: Rayan Cherki has firmly established himself as a high-value asset with his 13-point return.

    5. Predictable Blanks: Moving on from Bruno Fernandes (injury) and Bryan Mbeumo (AFCON) was standard housekeeping for over 1.5 million managers.

    The Hype Train: Successes and Traps

    Ekitiké (Forward, LIV)

    • GW18 Performance: 5 points (85 mins)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: +1,245,249 (Massive hype)

    Ekitiké was the most transferred-in player of GW17, with over 1.2 million managers jumping on the bandwagon. While his 5-point return in GW18 isn't a "haul," it's a respectable return that keeps the "kneejerkers" relatively happy, though many were hoping for another double-digit return given the hype.

    "Five goals in three matches! Is Ekitiké the differential we need?" - Reddit FOMO at an all-time high.

    Rogers (Midfielder, AVL)

    • GW18 Performance: 1 point (90 mins)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: +905,143 (The Hype Train)

    Rogers was the ultimate "kneejerk trap" of GW18. Following a 15-point haul in GW17, over 900k managers rushed to bring him in, only to be met with a 1-point blank. While he played the full 90 minutes, he failed to produce any attacking returns, leaving new owners frustrated.

    The 20-Point King: Kevin Schade

    Schade (Midfielder, BRE)

    • GW18 Performance: 20 points (2 goals, 2 assists, 3 bonus)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: -165 (Off the Radar)
    • Ownership: 0.8%

    Schade is the definition of a "blanket" haul. 20 points from a 5.2m midfielder is the kind of performance that breaks the game. With virtually no transfer activity in GW17 (-165 net), he was completely off the radar. This isn't just a success; it's the Shock of the Season.

    The Elite Differential

    Dorgu (Defender, MUN)

    • GW18 Performance: 17 points (2 goals, CS, 3 bonus)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: +4,109 (Low Signal)
    • Ownership: 2.2%

    Dorgu is the "League Winner" differential of GW18. With only 2.2% ownership, his 17-point explosion is a massive rank booster for those who took the risk. His role in the United defense (likely as an attacking wing-back under Amorim) is now the most talked-about development in the community.

    City and United Assets

    Cherki (Midfielder, MCI)

    • GW18 Performance: 13 points (1 goal, 1 assist)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: +167,332 (Rising Hype)

    Cherki is quickly becoming the "must-have" City midfielder. His 13-point haul validates the 167k managers who brought him in. He's moving rapidly towards "template" status.

    Bruno Fernandes (Midfielder, MUN)

    • GW18 Performance: 0 points (DNP - Injury)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: -1,485,840 (Necessary Housekeeping)

    Moving on from Bruno was the logical move. Nearly 1.5 million managers dumped him in GW17 due to a lack of form compounded by an injury scare. His 0-point DNP in GW18 confirmed the necessity of the exit, allowing managers to redistribute those funds into active assets.

    The Punishers

    Watkins (Forward, AVL)

    • GW18 Performance: 12 points (2 goals in 32 mins)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: -52,982 (Quiet Exit)

    Watkins provided a masterclass in efficiency. For the 52k managers who sold him, this is a painful "punishment." His low ownership (7.1%) makes this a significant differential haul for the "faithful."

    Thiago (Forward, BRE)

    • GW18 Performance: 5 points (1 goal/assist)
    • GW17 Net Transfers: -864,420 (Massive Outflow)

    The classic "punisher-lite." Scoring immediately after 864k managers sold him is the ultimate FPL irony. The psychological blow of "the minute I sell him, he scores" is real.

    FPL Optimizer